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Quote of the Month

"The impact of climate change is posing a growing challenge to peace and stability. That is why we need a new culture of international cooperation: affected states need to be involved at an early stage, and state resilience needs to become a leitmotif of foreign policy." - Frank‑Walter Steinmeier, German Foreign Minister, Presentation of the Report “A New Climate for Peace – Taking Action on Climate and Fragility
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Are Oil Prices Latin America’s Newest Threat?

The dramatic fall in oil prices that has taken place since the second semester of 2014 was not exactly unexpected, even if it did take the world by surprise. As of February 5th, Brent crude has dropped from $115 to $56 a barrel, and West Texas Intermediate to $50. Widely ranging from energy policy to the fight against the Islamic State,...
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What’s in a Name? States of Fragility and Adjusting Aid to Conflict Zones

Depending on how closely you pay attention to the OECD, you may have picked up on a subtle but meaningful change in this year’s States of Fragility report. Whereas previous reports were titled Fragile States, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development has shifted its framing to focus less on states and more on conditions,...
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ECC Newsletter Edition 1/2015

We have published the first edition of the Environment, Conflict, and Cooperation Newsletter in 2015. Read how foreign policy makers can use opportunities for green job creation to promote ambitious climate action, about linkages between climate change and fragility in Africa, or how climate change exacerbates conflicts between mining and herding in Mongolia.
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Articles

Early Warning & Risk Analysis Publications

Quick Access

Beddington, J. 2009: Food, Energy, Water and the Climate: A Perfect Storm of Global Events? London: Government Office for Science.

Fischhendler, I. 2008: Institutional conditions for IWRM: The Israeli case. Ground Water, Vol. 46, No. 1, pp.91–102.

The German Technical Cooperation (GTZ) has compiled a useful glossary of terms and approaches related to crisis prevention.

Books and Studies

Birkmann, Jörn et al. 2011: World Risk Report 2011. Berlin und Bonn: Bündnis Entwicklung Hilft (Alliance Development Works) and United Nations University.

Black, Richard et al. 2011: Foresight: Migration and Global Environmental Change. Final Project Report. London: The Government Office for Science.

International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 2011: Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation. Geneva.

Nelson, G. et al. 2010: Food security, farming, and climate change to 2050. Scenarios, Results, Policy Options. Washington, D.C.: IFPRI.

International Crisis Group 2009: Haiti: Saving the Environment, Preventing Instability and Conflict. Latin America and Caribbean Policy Briefing No. 20. Brüssel.

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Regional Case Studies

Middle East and North Africa

Africa

Latin America and Carribean

Asia and Pacific

Central Asia and South Caucasus

Arctic

Links

Institute for Environmental Security: Environmental Security for Poverty Alleviation (ESPA). Results of three Prototype Environmental Security Assessments.

National Security Journalism Initiative: Global Warning. A complex climate threat. http://global-warning.org/main/explore-connections/

UNESCO: Project to Strengthen Flood Forecasting and Management Capacity in Pakistan.

FAO: Information Products for Nile Basin Water Resources Management.

 

Beddington, J. 2009: Food, Energy, Water and the Climate: A Perfect Storm of Global Events? London: Government Office for Science.